Kanji writing paper
Wednesday, August 26, 2020
Research On Destination Image And Perceived Expectation Tourism Essay
Exploration On Destination Image And Perceived Expectation Tourism Essay Presentation Back ground The travel industry can be characterize as the exercises of individuals going from their inhabitant nation to another not more than one moderate year in control for relaxation, business, information and other reason. In the early timeframe when the travel industry was present, it was just the rich and hardly any informed ones that adoration experience travel to investigate the other nation culture as a traveler, so the travel industry at that point isn't mainstream and can not create a lot of cash for a nation yet as time go on the travel industry began to come into spotlight to the degree that it fill in as a significant division of pay to some nation. The travel industry is developing quick these days on the planet to the degree that the world gathering it as the second biggest segment of economy that create salary for nation on the planet. As per (WTO) world the travel industry association, the part has become a serious area on the planet among various nation of the world. The travel industry business has developed to some level that some created and creating nations like Greece rely upon the travel industry as wellspring of salary for their nation. They rely entirely upon it to build up the economy, make businesses, and diminish destitution line of the individuals. All nation presently structures their area, urban communities, and state to draw in vacationer and visitor speculator to their goal so as to contend in the travel industry ventures. Aside from building up the economy of a nation, the travel industry additionally give space for nation culture to come into spotlight. Vacationers being significant spotlight in goal have sway on the goal itself and the item in that goal. The voyagers nearness in that goal improved the consciousness of the spot picture. Goal picture, this has to do with the vacationers impression of items from a specific nation, on their view of the countrys creation and showcasing qualities and weaknesses.(Roth Romeo, 1992). Sightseers are intended to assess a goal and in this procedure diverse visitor think of various data about that goal which is significant in improving or harming the picture of a goal. Visitor are bourn to construe about a goal picture and their deduction about the estimation of a goal fill in as a quality marker, the mix of the data or judgment lead to in general assessment of the goal fulfillment which lead to client loyalty(Manrai, 1998,p.594). Besides, any traveler goal that had the option to pick up the steadfastness of vacationer, the goal will be at the favorable position in light of the fact that the visitor will result to prescribing that goal to other. Fruitful the travel industry can build the receipt of the traveler in a goal; it can likewise expand pay, government income, and work. Pulling in vacationer to return to and suggest it for others is significant in the achievement of a goal. (Chen and Tsai,2007). Malaysia was effective in expanding the quantity of vacationer throughout the year among which is Nigeria visitor are incorporated with the recorded number by (WTO) world the travel industry association which rake Malaysia ninth situation with 23 .6m among the main ten most visited nation on the planet. These depended on the Malaysia accomplishment in picking up the steadfastness of the traveler and great goal picture they have with the vacationer, that is the reason Malaysia had the option to achieve this objective. Taking a gander at the figure a few years back the number isn't up to this however consistently the figure continue expanding, this likewise apply to Nigerian visitor in Malaysia, 2009 Malaysia recorded over10,000 Nigeria sightseers and ever year the number continues expanding. The exploration is taking a gander at these expansion in number of Nigerian traveler which is likely identified with the goal picture of Malaysia that has impact on see desire for the Nigerian vac ationer, proof from Chen Tsai, 2007.Destination picture have two significant effect on visitor conduct, the first is the ability to impact goal decision dynamic and the subsequent one is the after dynamic conduct of the traveler on the goal, experience, assessment and fulfillment which lead to return to and proposal of the travel industry goal. Great impression of the goal picture realizes steadfast vacationer, suggestion and returning to of the goal and it will emphatically build up the travel industry part. In this way, the constructive experience the vacationer have on the item, administrations, food, lodging, accommodation of the individuals and other will encourage the return to or proposal of the goal. Verbal data help enormously in building up the picture of a goal since it could deliver another traveler visit to that goal or return to. All together words, verbal exchange and proposal by the novice visit to a spot is the most solid wellspring of data of a goal. In any case, there is no examination that have investigate picture goal with see desire, this exploration is going to address how goal picture impact apparent desire for Nigerian vacationer and furthermore test if goal picture have effect on the expansion of Nigeria travelers throughout the years. 1.2 Purpose of the investigation The point of this proposed examination is to distinguish the critical picture arrangement and it sway on Nigerian visitors fulfillment. Discover the connection between goal picture Nigerian traveler saw desire, see quality, vacationers fulfillment and visitor dependability. Utilizing auxiliary condition model (SEM) by experimentally seeing Nigeria training traveler in Malaysia (Students) specifically as the significant respondent. 1.3 Problem proclamation of the investigation The current literary works shows that travel industry analysts have generally centered around issues that identify with the interest sides of the vacationer inspirations and hardly any personal conduct standards fundamentally to find the reasons that made sightseers visit a specific goal (Chen and Tsai, 2007; Alcaniz et al., 2005). Taking a gander at the nonexistent picture of voyagers it requires the need to experimentally build up the genuine travel understanding of Nigerian vacationers in Malaysia. This is spin-off of different industry reports in Malaysia that have been reliably adversely painting Nigerian travelers on issues like tricks, dark cash, hijacking, tax evasion and so forth (Romance trick, 2010; NOTE; (Ernest, 2009). Strikingly, in spite of these negative open pictures of Nigerian sightseers in Malaysia, the nation has constantly seen a sharp increment in Nigerian vacationers to Malaysia (Sirat et al., 2010; Sirat, 2005). Picture as a unique idea has been contended as a compelling methods for looking at and dissecting chronicled and contemporary issues in movement writing, especially how changes in visitor appearances have decidedly or adversely affected the travel industry advancement of a general public (Turel and Serenko, 2006). Apparently, traveler specialists has found and underlined that the one of a kind picture of any goal has been created lately through the imaginative utilization of symbolism (Andriotis et al., 2008; Meng et al., 2008; Bowen and Clarke, 2002). This is on the grounds that travel industry providers have been deliberately utilizing such symbolism in separating their items and summoning existential wants in the brains of their current and expected guests (Sirgy et al., 2010; Gil and Ritchie, 2008). (Hudman and Johnson1994) second version geology of movement and the travel industry. Subsequently, the uniqueness and assorted variety of the travel industry items in the cutting edge economy for all intents and purposes request that goals ought to cook for a more extensive cluster of visitor interests, by continually repackaging their items and reimaging their goal along vacationer request and practices (Chen and Tsai, 2007). Grounded in these zones of exploration is (Fornell et al1996). That have observationally tried and set up apparent desire, saw quality and saw an incentive as the precursors of consumer loyalty and client grumblings and client reliability as the outcomes of consumer loyalty across industry. Correspondingly, Gil and Ritchie (2008), Chen and Tsai (2007) and Alcaniz et al (2005) have all independently underscored that the capacity of movement suppliers to proficiently coordinate vacationer observations with their own recognitions would prompt an increasingly compelling and profitable shopper driven promoting and further affirms the importance of picture in giving the necessary legitimate guest encounters. Base on the commonsense and hypothetical holes referenced over, this examination expects to inspect Nigerian voyagers encounters, by relating the ideas of picture with the validness of their visits. This examination proposes to break the hypothetical hole as accentuated by Chen and Tsai (2007) that distinction among symbolism and experience could decidedly or adversely sway voyagers fulfillment. 1.4 Research destinations This examination will explore on goal picture and saw desire that lead to see quality, visitors fulfillment which came about to client dependability. The exploration target will be recorded beneath; To contemplate the goal picture, and traveler fulfillment To examine the vacationer see desire for the goal picture which lead to traveler unwaveringness To investigate the connection between goal pictures, saw desire, see quality and fulfillment that help in picking up the vacationer faithfulness. To prescribe and give recommendation on the most proficient method to keep the achievement and improve the goal picture for the traveler to continue being faithful to the goal. 1.5 Research questions This examination will pose these inquiries What could be the view of Nigerian vacationer on Malaysia as a goal, fulfillment and dependability of Nigerian visitor? What is the apparent desire for Nigerian traveler on the goal picture? What are the connection between goal picture, seen desire, see quality, fulfillment and client dedication? What are the proposals expected to continua
Saturday, August 22, 2020
Essay on Fast Food and Consumer Foodservice
Article on Fast Food and Consumer Foodservice Article on Fast Food and Consumer Foodservice 5 New Expansion Patterns in China Consumer Foodservice Article | 19 Sep 2011 Customer foodservice in China has seen amazing development in the course of the most recent couple of years, yet ongoing extension is advancing in some astonishing manners. While worldwide multinationals like Yum! Brands and McDonald's have moved their concentration to second-and third-level urban communities, neighborhood Chinese administrators are extending their compass to incorporate first-level focuses regardless of the significant level of rivalry. Numerous such administrators are hoping to develop from territorial brands into national contenders, and they're utilizing an assortment of strategies from getting littler players to raising capital through stock contributions or investment organizations to accomplish their objective. The ascent of new development communities First-mover Yum! Brands has been building its essence in China since 1987, and the market currently contributes over 40% of the organization's all out working benefits. The organization has concentrated its development so far on the three biggest beach front urban areas (Shanghai, Beijing and Guangzhou), and as these profoundly thick, urban regions have the biggest convergence of well-off purchasers, they've given rich ground to fast development. As per the organization, Yum! Brands' working benefits from China multiplied from 20072010, and it anticipates that yearly benefits should reach US$1 billion soon. Different US-based global administrators have followed Yum! Brands' lead, and four out of the market's five top foodservice brands (KFC, McDonald's, Dicos, Pizza Hut, Little Sheep) are currently in any event somewhat US-claimed. Huge numbers of these worldwide contenders have likewise centered around fantastic paces of development in first-level markets-both McDonald's and Yum! Brands have extended as fast as one new outlet for each day now and again and the purchaser foodservice showcase is getting progressively immersed. Moreover, taking off food swelling as of late has made cheap food costs increasingly available to shoppers outside the wealthiest urban focuses. Accordingly, Yum! Brands, McDonald's and other worldwide administrators are presently moving their concentration to extension in second-and third-level urban communities, particularly in focal, northwest and southwest China. Market-driving brand KFC started extending to littler urban areas in 2009 and has just received the rewards. As indicated by the organization, more than 500 KFC outlets opened in China in 2009, and 140 of them were situated in focal and western areas. Half of the openings were in littler urban areas, some of which had recently had almost no infiltration from tied buyer foodservice, and thus the openings were met with significant purchaser energy. This technique helped the organization accomplish a 23% expansion in working benefits in China, the organization's most noteworthy framework wide. Adding to this expansion were the lower costs related with working cafés in lower-level urban areas, for example, moderately cheap leases and work costs. The previous may have been generally alluring to the administrator, as high leases and solid rivalry constrained Yum! Brands to close various outlets in first-level areas in 2009. Household players hope to extend national reach As Yum! also, its kind were building their essence in Beijing, Guangzhou and Shanghai, China's local players centered rather around developing in second-and third-level urban areas to maintain a strategic distance from direct rivalry with the a lot bigger administrators. This technique brought about a solid nearness among household players in regions that are presently turning out to be significant development targets. Urban communities in these less evolved areas are quickly growing, and a considerable lot of them are seeing increments in government speculation on nearby foundation. Eminently, China's National Development and Reform Commission reported in July of 2010 that it would Page 1 of 3 contribute RMB680 billion (US$107 billion) in west China to animate monetary development in the area. Making these locales much progressively helpful for developing foodservice request, many have developing populaces
Wednesday, August 12, 2020
New Features in MindMeister for iPad - Focus
New Features in MindMeister for iPad - Focus After one of the speediest reviews weve ever had, Apple has just released the new version of MindMeister for iPad to the App Store. The release contains a slew of new features and brings the iPad experience a considerable step closer to the feature richness of MindMeister online. Without further ado, heres the list of whats new in MindMeister for iPad 3.5: Export to PDF, PNG, RTF, MindManager, Freemind Support for notes and links Support for map themes and icon groups External monitor and keyboard support Customize box styles (new style popover) Add message when sharing map New open/close behavior (special buttons) Return creates new node (fast idea entry) Faster map drawing Smooth zooming option Redesigned editing UI with popovers Stability and synchronisation enhancements Various bugfixes MindMeister for iPad is available as a free upgrade to all users who have bought the app before. New users can download it for $7.99 directly from the iTunes Store. Get MindMeister in the App Store now Thanks to everybody for all their positive feedback and suggestions were already working on the next set of features so please keep the ideas coming!
Saturday, May 23, 2020
Tuesday, May 12, 2020
Civic Vergement - 1038 Words
Every corporation must start somewhere meaning they must research where they want to be located. To find an appropriate location, research is necessary because they cannot just build their business wherever they want because that can be considered acts of aggression if they do not ask the community for them to be in that area. So, to avoid confrontation corporations can ask the community and give them their intent and how they are going to improve their community. With them taking the extra step of asking for help from the community, then the business will run more smoothly. Community is defined as the area in which the corporation is doing their business and usually a city, a town or the assets of an area. Having a good community toâ⬠¦show more contentâ⬠¦As discussed in class with one of the videos where a company wanted to cut down trees in the community, the people protested to reserve the forest and the company did not get the rights to operate in that region With them re ceiving the license, they must community relations because their success depends on the community and for most times if a corporation is too big, they hire a community relations manager who oversees interacting with the local citizens. some of the ways in which they can interact with the community is by having an economic development, housing, aiding minority, women and disable veteran own enterprises. This can be corporate social responsibility because they are paying it forward to the community that is supporting their business or corporate giving. This is defined as companies giving out some of their assets or eve cash to the public to help them improve the public wellbeing and this usually includes volunteering. According to Fortune magazines, Walmart, wells Fargo, bank of America, ExxonMobil are the top companies known for their corporate giving. Although, these companies have faced scandals such as Walmart is known for outsourcing, well Fargo was under fire for opening fake ba nk accounts they still have customers because of their reputation of giving back to the public. Some of the different ways of corporate giving include in-kind contributions this where companies donate some of their products to the
Wednesday, May 6, 2020
The Golden Compass Chapter Sixteen Free Essays
string(53) " through the ceiling that this boy showed meâ⬠¦\." Chapter Sixteen The Silver Guillotine Lyra ducked her head at once under the shelter of her wolverine hood, and shuffled in through the double doors with the other children. Time enough later to worry about what sheââ¬â¢d say when they came face to face: she had another problem to deal with first, and that was how to hide her furs where she could get at them without asking permission. But luckily, there was such disorder inside, with the adults trying to hurry the children through so as to clear the way for the passengers from the zeppelin, that no one was watching very carefully. We will write a custom essay sample on The Golden Compass Chapter Sixteen or any similar topic only for you Order Now Lyra slipped out of the anorak, the leggings, and the boots and bundled them up as small as she could before shoving through the crowded corridors to her dormitory. Quickly she dragged a locker to the corner, stood on it, and pushed at the ceiling. The panel lifted, just as Roger had said, and into the space beyond she thrust the boots and leggings. As an afterthought, she took the alethiometer from her pouch and hid it in the inmost pocket of the anorak before shoving that through too. She jumped down, pushed back the locker, and whispered to Pantalaimon, ââ¬Å"We must just pretend to be stupid till she sees us, and then say we were kidnapped. And nothing about the gyptians or lorek Byrnison especially.â⬠Because Lyra now realized, if she hadnââ¬â¢t done so before, that all the fear in her nature was drawn to Mrs. Coulter as a compass needle is drawn to the Pole. All the other things sheââ¬â¢d seen, and even the hideous cruelty of the intercision, she could cope with; she was strong enough; but the thought of that sweet face and gentle voice, the image of that golden playful monkey, was enough to melt her stomach and make her pale and nauseated. But the gyptians were coming. Think of that. Think of lorek Byrnison. And donââ¬â¢t give yourself away, she said, and drifted back toward the canteen, from where a lot of noise was coming. Children were lining up to get hot drinks, some of them still in their coal-silk anoraks. Their talk was all of the zep-pelin and its passenger. ââ¬Å"It was her ââ¬â with the monkey daemon ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"Did she get you, too?â⬠ââ¬Å"She said sheââ¬â¢d write to my mum and dad and I bet she neverâ⬠¦.â⬠ââ¬Å"She never told us about kids getting killed. She never said nothing about that.â⬠ââ¬Å"That monkey, heââ¬â¢s the worst ââ¬â he caught my Karossa and nearly killed her ââ¬â I could feel all weakâ⬠¦.â⬠They were as frightened as Lyra was. She found Annie and the others, and sat down. ââ¬Å"Listen,â⬠she said, ââ¬Å"can you keep a secret?â⬠ââ¬Å"Yeah!â⬠The three faces turned to her, vivid with expectation. ââ¬Å"Thereââ¬â¢s a plan to escape,â⬠Lyra said quietly. ââ¬Å"Thereââ¬â¢s some people coming to take us away, right, and theyââ¬â¢ll be here in about a day. Maybe sooner. What we all got to do is be ready as soon as the signal goes and get our cold-weather clothes at once and run out. No waiting about. You just got to run. Only if you donââ¬â¢t get your anoraks and boots and stuff, youââ¬â¢ll die of cold.â⬠ââ¬Å"What signal?â⬠Annie demanded. ââ¬Å"The fire bell, like this afternoon. Itââ¬â¢s all organized. All the kidsââ¬â¢re going to know and none of the grownups. Especially not her.â⬠Their eyes were gleaming with hope and excitement. And all through the canteen the message was being passed around. Lyra could tell that the atmosphere had changed. Outside, the children had been energetic and eager for play; then when they had seen Mrs. Coulter they were bubbling with a suppressed hysterical fear; but now there was a control and purpose to their talkativeness. Lyra marveled at the effect hope could have. She watched through the open doorway, but carefully, ready to duck her head, because there were adult voices coming, and then Mrs. Coulter herself was briefly visible, looking in and smiling at the happy children, with their hot drinks and their cake, so warm and well fed. A little shiver ran almost instantaneously through the whole canteen, and every child was still and silent, staring at her. Mrs. Coulter smiled and passed on without a word. Little by little the talk started again. Lyra said, ââ¬Å"Where do they go to talk?â⬠ââ¬Å"Probably the conference room,â⬠said Annie. ââ¬Å"They took us there once,â⬠she added, meaning her and her dasmon. ââ¬Å"There was about twenty grownups there and one of ââ¬â¢em was giving a lecture and I had to stand there and do what he told me, like seeing how far my Kyrillion could go away from me, and then he hypnotized me and did some other thingsâ⬠¦.Itââ¬â¢s a big room with a lot of chairs and tables and a little platform. Itââ¬â¢s behind the front office. Hey, I bet theyââ¬â¢re going to pretend the fire drill went off all right. I bet theyââ¬â¢re scared of her, same as we areâ⬠¦.â⬠For the rest of the day, Lyra stayed close to the other girls, watching, saying little, remaining inconspicuous. There was exercise, there was sewing, there was supper, there was playtime in the lounge: a big shabby room with board games and a few tattered books and a table-tennis table. At some point Lyra and the others became aware that there was some kind of subdued emergency going on, because the adults were hurrying to and fro or standing in anxious groups talking urgently. Lyra guessed theyââ¬â¢d discovered the daemonsââ¬â¢ escape, and were wondering how it had happened. But she didnââ¬â¢t see Mrs. Coulter, which was a relief. When it was time for bed, she knew she had to let the other girls into her confidence. ââ¬Å"Listen,â⬠she said, ââ¬Å"do they ever come round and see if weââ¬â¢re asleep?â⬠ââ¬Å"They just look in once,â⬠said Bella. ââ¬Å"They just flash a lantern round, they donââ¬â¢t really look.â⬠ââ¬Å"Good. ââ¬ËCause Iââ¬â¢m going to go and look round. Thereââ¬â¢s a way through the ceiling that this boy showed meâ⬠¦. You read "The Golden Compass Chapter Sixteen" in category "Essay examples"â⬠She explained, and before sheââ¬â¢d even finished, Annie said, ââ¬Å"Iââ¬â¢ll come with you!â⬠ââ¬Å"No, you better not, ââ¬â¢cause itââ¬â¢ll be easier if thereââ¬â¢s just one person missing. You can all say you fell asleep and you donââ¬â¢t know where Iââ¬â¢ve gone.â⬠ââ¬Å"But if I came with you ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"More likely to get caught,â⬠said Lyra. Their two daemons were staring at each other, Pantalaimon as a wildcat, Annieââ¬â¢s Kyrillion as a fox. They were quivering. Pantalaimon uttered the lowest, softest hiss and bared his teeth, and Kyrillion turned aside and began to groom himself unconcernedly. ââ¬Å"All right then,â⬠said Annie, resigned. It was quite common for struggles between children to be settled by their daemons in this way, with one accepting the dominance of the other. Their humans accepted the outcome without resentment, on the whole, so Lyra knew that Annie would do as she asked. They all contributed items of clothing to bulk out Lyraââ¬â¢s bed and make it look as if she was still there, and swore to say they knew nothing about it. Then Lyra listened at the door to make sure no one was coming, jumped up on the locker, pushed up the panel, and hauled herself through. ââ¬Å"Just donââ¬â¢t say anything,â⬠she whispered down to the three faces watching. Then she dropped the panel gently back into place and looked around. She was crouching in a narrow metal channel supported in a framework of girders and struts. The panels of the ceilings were slightly translucent, so some light came up from below, and in the faint gleam Lyra could see this narrow space (only two feet or so in height) extending in all directions around her. It was crowded with metal ducts and pipes, and it would be easy to get lost in, but provided she kept to the metal and avoided putting any weight on the panels, and as long as she made no noise, she should be able to go from one end of the station to the other. ââ¬Å"Itââ¬â¢s just like back in Jordan, Pan,â⬠she whispered, ââ¬Å"looking in the Retiring Room.â⬠ââ¬Å"If you hadnââ¬â¢t done that, none of this would have happened,â⬠he whispered back. ââ¬Å"Then itââ¬â¢s up to me to undo it, isnââ¬â¢t it?â⬠She got her bearings, working out approximately which direction the conference room was in, and then set off. It was a far from easy journey. She had to move on hands and knees, because the space was too low to crouch in, and every so often she had to squeeze under a big square duct or lift herself over some heating pipes. The metal channels she crawled in followed the tops of internal walls, as far as she could tell, and as long as she stayed in them she felt a comforting solidity below her; but they were very narrow, and had sharp edges, so sharp that she cut her knuckles and her knees on them, and before long she was sore all over, and cramped, and dusty. But she knew roughly where she was, and she could see the dark bulk of her furs crammed in above the dormitory to guide her back. She could tell where a room was empty because the panels were dark, and from time to time she heard voices from below, and stopped to listen, but it was only the cooks in the kitchen, or the nurses in what Lyra, in her Jordan way, thought of as their common room. They were saying nothing interesting, so she moved on. At last she came to the area where the conference room should be, according to her calculations; and sure enough, there was an area free of any pipework, where air conditioning and heating ducts led down at one end, and where all the panels in a wide rectangular space were lit evenly. She placed her ear to the panel, and heard a murmur of male adult voices, so she knew she had found the right place. She listened carefully, and then inched her way along till she was as close as she could get to the speakers. Then she lay full length in the metal channel and leaned her head sideways to hear as well as she could. There was the occasional clink of cutlery, or the sound of glass on glass as drink was poured, so they were having dinner as they talked. There were four voices, she thought, including Mrs. Coulterââ¬â¢s. The other three were men. They seemed to be discussing the escaped dasmons. ââ¬Å"But who is in charge of supervising that section?â⬠said Mrs. Coulterââ¬â¢s gentle musical voice. ââ¬Å"A research student called McKay,â⬠said one of the men. ââ¬Å"But there are automatic mechanisms to prevent this sort of thing happening ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"They didnââ¬â¢t work,â⬠she said. ââ¬Å"With respect, they did, Mrs. Coulter. McKay assures us that he locked all the cages when he left the building at eleven hundred hours today. The outer door of course would not have been open in any case, because he entered and left by the inner door, as he normally did. Thereââ¬â¢s a code that has to be entered in the ordinator controlling the locks, and thereââ¬â¢s a record in its memory of his doing so. Unless thatââ¬â¢s done, an alarm goes off.â⬠ââ¬Å"But the alarm didnââ¬â¢t go off,â⬠she said. ââ¬Å"It did. Unfortunately, it rang when everyone was outside, taking part in the fire drill.â⬠ââ¬Å"But when you went back inside ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"Unfortunately, both alarms are on the same circuit; thatââ¬â¢s a design fault that will have to be rectified. What it meant was that when the fire bell was turned off after the practice, the laboratory alarm was turned off as well. Even then it would still have been picked up, because of the normal checks that would have taken place after every disruption of routine; but by that time, Mrs. Coulter, you had arrived unexpectedly, and if you recall, you asked specifically to meet the laboratory staff there and then, in your room. Consequently, no one returned to the laboratory until some time later.â⬠ââ¬Å"I see,â⬠said Mrs. Coulter coldly. ââ¬Å"In that case, the daemons must have been released during the fire drill itself. And that widens the list of suspects to include every adult in the station. Had you considered that?â⬠ââ¬Å"Had you considered that it might have been done by a child?â⬠said someone else. She was silent, and the second man went on: ââ¬Å"Every adult had a task to do, and every task would have taken their full attention, and every task was done. There is no possibility that any of the staff here could have opened the door. None. So either someone came from outside altogether with the intention of doing that, or one of the children managed to find his way there, open the door and the cages, and return to the front of the main building.â⬠ââ¬Å"And what are you doing to investigate?â⬠she said. ââ¬Å"No; on second thought, donââ¬â¢t tell me. Please understand, Dr. Cooper, Iââ¬â¢m not criticizing out of malice. We have to be quite extraordinarily careful. It was an atrocious lapse to have allowed both alarms to be on the same circuit. That must be corrected at once. Possibly the Tartar officer in charge of the guard could help your investigation? I merely mention that as a possibility. Where were the Tartars during the fire drill, by the way? I suppose you have considered that?â⬠ââ¬Å"Yes, we have,â⬠said the man wearily. ââ¬Å"The guard was fully occupied on patrol, every man. They keep meticulous records.â⬠ââ¬Å"Iââ¬â¢m sure youââ¬â¢re doing your very best,â⬠she said. ââ¬Å"Well, there we are. A great pity. But enough of that for now. Tell me about the new separator.â⬠Lyra felt a thrill of fear. There was only one thing this could mean. ââ¬Å"Ah,â⬠said the doctor, relieved to find the conversation turning to another subject, ââ¬Å"thereââ¬â¢s a real advance. With the first model we could never entirely overcome the risk of the patient dying of shock, but weââ¬â¢ve improved that no end.â⬠ââ¬Å"The Skraelings did it better by hand,â⬠said a man who hadnââ¬â¢t spoken yet. ââ¬Å"Centuries of practice,â⬠said the other man. ââ¬Å"But simply tearing was the only option for some time,â⬠said the main speaker, ââ¬Å"however distressing that was to the adult operators. If you remember, we had to discharge quite a number for reasons of stress-related anxiety. But the first big breakthrough was the use of anesthesia combined with the Maystadt anbaric scalpel. We were able to reduce death from operative shock to below five percent.â⬠ââ¬Å"And the new instrument?â⬠said Mrs. Coulter. Lyra was trembling. The blood was pounding in her ears, and Pantalaimon was pressing his ermine form against her side, and whispering, ââ¬Å"Hush, Lyra, they wonââ¬â¢t do it ââ¬â we wonââ¬â¢t let them do it ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"Yes, it was a curious discovery by Lord Asriel himself that gave us the key to the new method. He discovered that an alloy of manganese and titanium has the property of insulating body from daemon. By the way, what is happening with Lord Asriel?â⬠ââ¬Å"Perhaps you havenââ¬â¢t heard,â⬠said Mrs. Coulter. ââ¬Å"Lord Asriel is under suspended sentence of death. One of the conditions of his exile in Svalbard was that he give up his philosophical work entirely. Unfortunately, he managed to obtain books and materials, and heââ¬â¢s pushed his heretical investigations to the point where itââ¬â¢s positively dangerous to let him live. At any rate, it seems that the Vatican Council has begun to debate the question of the sentence of death, and the probability is that itââ¬â¢ll be carried out. But your new instrument, Doctor. How does it work?â⬠ââ¬Å"Ah ââ¬â yes ââ¬â sentence of death, you say? Gracious Godâ⬠¦Iââ¬â¢m sorry. The new instrument. Weââ¬â¢re investigating what happens when the intercision is made with the patient in a conscious state, and of course that couldnââ¬â¢t be done with the Maystadt process. So weââ¬â¢ve developed a kind of guillotine, I suppose you could say. The blade is made of manganese and titanium alloy, and the child is placed in a compartment ââ¬â like a small cabin ââ¬â of alloy mesh, with the daemon in a similar compartment connecting with it. While there is a connection, of course, the link remains. Then the blade is brought down between them, severing the link at once. They are then separate entities.â⬠ââ¬Å"I should like to see it,â⬠she said. ââ¬Å"Soon, I hope. But Iââ¬â¢m tired now. I think Iââ¬â¢ll go to bed. I want to see all the children tomorrow. We shall find out who opened that door.â⬠There was the sound of chairs being pushed back, polite expressions, a door closing. Then Lyra heard the others sit down again, and go on talking, but more quietly. ââ¬Å"What is Lord Asriel up to?â⬠ââ¬Å"I think heââ¬â¢s got an entirely different idea of the nature of Dust. Thatââ¬â¢s the point. Itââ¬â¢s profoundly heretical, you see, and the Consistorial Court of Discipline canââ¬â¢t allow any other interpretation than the authorized one. And besides, he wants to experiment ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"To experiment? With Dust?â⬠ââ¬Å"Hush! Not so loudâ⬠¦Ã¢â¬ ââ¬Å"Do you think sheââ¬â¢ll make an unfavorable report?â⬠ââ¬Å"No, no. I think you dealt with her very well.â⬠ââ¬Å"Her attitude worries meâ⬠¦.â⬠ââ¬Å"Not philosophical, you mean?â⬠ââ¬Å"Exactly. A personal interest. I donââ¬â¢t like to use the word, but itââ¬â¢s almost ghoulish.â⬠ââ¬Å"Thatââ¬â¢s a bit strong.â⬠ââ¬Å"But do you remember the first experiments, when she was so keen to see thefn pulled apart ââ¬â ââ¬Å" Lyra,coutdnââ¬â¢t help it: a little cry escaped her, and at the same time she tensed and shivered, and her foot knocked against a stanchion. ââ¬Å"What was that?â⬠ââ¬Å"In the ceiling ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"Quick!â⬠The sound of chairs being thrown aside, feet running, a table pulled across the floor. Lyra tried to scramble away, but there was so little space, and before she could move more than a few yards the ceiling panel beside her was thrust up suddenly, and she was looking into the startled face of a man. She was close enough to see every hair in his moustache. He was as startled as she was, but with more freedom to move, he was able to thrust a hand into the gap and seize her arm. ââ¬Å"A child!â⬠ââ¬Å"Donââ¬â¢t let her go ââ¬â ââ¬Å" Lyra sank her teeth into his large freckled hand. He cried out, but didnââ¬â¢t let go, even when she drew blood. Pan-talaimon was snarling and spitting, but it was no good, the man was much stronger than she was, and he pulled and pulled until her other hand, desperately clinging to the stanchion, had to loosen, and she half-fell through into the room. Still she didnââ¬â¢t utter a sound. She hooked her legs over the sharp edge of the metal above, and struggled upside down, scratching, biting, punching, spitting in passionate fury. The men were gasping and grunting with pain or exertion, but they pulled and pulled. And suddenly all the strength went out of her. It was as if an alien hand had reached right inside where no hand had a right to be, and wrenched at something deep and precious. She felt faint, dizzy, sick, disgusted, limp with shock. One of the men was holding Pantalaimon. He had seized Lyraââ¬â¢s daemon in his human hands, and poor Pan was shaking, nearly out of his mind with horror and disgust. His wildcat shape, his fur now dull with weakness, now sparking glints of anbaric alarmâ⬠¦He curved toward his Lyra as she reached with both hands for himâ⬠¦. They fell still. They were captured. She felt those handsâ⬠¦.It wasnââ¬â¢t allowedâ⬠¦.Not supposed to touchâ⬠¦ Wrongâ⬠¦. ââ¬Å"Was she on her own?â⬠A man was peering into the ceiling space. ââ¬Å"Seems to be on her ownâ⬠¦.â⬠ââ¬Å"Who is she?â⬠ââ¬Å"The new child.â⬠ââ¬Å"The one the Samoyed huntersâ⬠¦Ã¢â¬ ââ¬Å"Yes.â⬠ââ¬Å"You donââ¬â¢t suppose sheâ⬠¦the daemonsâ⬠¦Ã¢â¬ ââ¬Å"Could well be. But not on her own, surely?â⬠ââ¬Å"Should we tell ââ¬â ââ¬Å" ââ¬Å"I think that would put the seal on things, donââ¬â¢t you?â⬠ââ¬Å"I agree. Better she doesnââ¬â¢t hear at all.â⬠ââ¬Å"But what can we do about this?â⬠ââ¬Å"She canââ¬â¢t go back with the other children.â⬠ââ¬Å"Impossible!â⬠ââ¬Å"Thereââ¬â¢s only one thing we can do, it seems to me.â⬠ââ¬Å"Now?â⬠ââ¬Å"Have to. Canââ¬â¢t leave it till the morning. She wants to watch.â⬠ââ¬Å"We could do it ourselves. No need to involve anyone else.â⬠The man who seemed to be in charge, the man who wasnââ¬â¢t holding either Lyra or Pantalaimon, tapped his teeth with a thumbnail. His eyes were never still; they flicked and slid and darted this way and that. Finally he nodded. ââ¬Å"Now. Do it now,â⬠he said. ââ¬Å"Otherwise sheââ¬â¢ll talk. The shock will prevent that, at least. She wonââ¬â¢t remember who she is, what she saw, what she heardâ⬠¦.Come on.â⬠Lyra couldnââ¬â¢t speak. She could hardly breathe. She had to let herself be carried through the station, along white empty corridors, past rooms humming with anbaric power, past the dormitories where children slept with their dasmons on the pillow beside them, sharing their dreams; and every second of the way she watched Pantalaimon, and he reached for her, and their eyes never left each other. Then a door which opened by means of a large wheel; a hiss of air; and a brilliantly lit chamber with dazzling white tiles and stainless steel. The fear she felt was almost a physical pain; it was a physical pain, as they pulled her and Pantalaimon over toward a large cage of pale silver mesh, above which a great pale silver blade hung poised to separate them forever and ever. She found a voice at last, and screamed. The sound echoed loudly off the shiny surfaces, but the heavy door had hissed shut; she could scream and scream forever, and not a sound would escape. But Pantalaimon, in answer, had twisted free of those hateful hands ââ¬â he was a lion, an eagle; he tore at them with vicious talons, great wings beat wildly, and then he was a wolf, a bear, a polecat ââ¬â darting, snarling, slashing, a succession of transformations too quick to register, and all the time leaping, flying, dodging from one spot to another as their clumsy hands flailed and snatched at the empty air. But they had daemons too, of course. It wasnââ¬â¢t two against three, it was two against six. A badger, an owl, and a baboon were all just as intent to pin Pantalaimon down, and Lyra was crying to them: ââ¬Å"Why? Why are you doing this? Help us! You shouldnââ¬â¢t be helping them!â⬠And she kicked and bit more passionately than ever, until the man holding her gasped and let go for a moment ââ¬â and she was free, and Pantalaimon sprang toward her like a spark of lightning, and she clutched him to her fierce breast, and he dug his wildcat claws into her flesh, and every stab of pain was dear to her. ââ¬Å"Never! Never! Never!â⬠she cried, and backed against the wall to defend him to their death. But they fell on her again, three big brutal men, and she was only a child, shocked and terrified; and they tore Pantalaimon away, and threw her into one side of the cage of mesh and carried him, struggling still, around to the other. There was a mesh barrier between them, but he was still part of her, they were still joined. For a second or so more, he was still her own dear soul. Above the panting of the men, above her own sobs, above the high wild howl of her daemon, Lyra heard a humming sound, and saw one man (bleeding from the nose) operate a bank of switches. The other two looked up, and her eyes followed theirs. The great pale silver blade was rising slowly, catching the brilliant light. The last moment in her complete life was going to be the worst by far. ââ¬Å"What is going on here?â⬠A light, musical voice: her voice. Everything stopped. ââ¬Å"What are you doing? And who is this child ââ¬â ââ¬Å" She didnââ¬â¢t complete the word child, because in that instant she recognized Lyra. Through tear-blurred eyes Lyra saw her totter and clutch at a bench; her face, so beautiful and composed, grew in a moment haggard and horror-struck. ââ¬Å"Lyra ââ¬â â⬠she whispered. The golden monkey darted from her side in a flash, and tugged Pantalaimon out from the mesh cage as Lyra fell out herself. Pantalaimon pulled free of the monkeyââ¬â¢s solicitous paws and stumbled to Lyraââ¬â¢s arms. ââ¬Å"Never, never,â⬠she breathed into his fur, and he pressed his beating heart to hers. They clung together like survivors of a shipwreck, shivering on a desolate coast. Dimly she heard Mrs. Coulter speaking to the men, but she couldnââ¬â¢t even interpret her tone of voice. And then they were leaving that hateful room, and Mrs. Coulter was half-carrying, half-supporting her along a corridor, and then there was a door, a bedroom, scent in the air, soft light. Mrs. Coulter laid her gently on the bed. Lyraââ¬â¢s arm was so tight around Pantalaimon that she was trembling with the force of it. A tender hand stroked her head. ââ¬Å"My dear, dear child,â⬠said that sweet voice. ââ¬Å"However did you come to be here?â⬠How to cite The Golden Compass Chapter Sixteen, Essay examples
Sunday, May 3, 2020
Statistical Analysis
Question: Write an essay onStatistical Analysis. Answer: In this assignment, the number of admissions to the movies in Australia was surveyed from the year 1994 to 2014. Other factors were also surveyed in this assignment. The data for the variables of Screens, Theatres, Films Screened, Real Ticket Price and Capacity were also collected from the year 1994 to 2014 (Bickel and Lehmann 2012). These data were used in this assignment for the analysis. Statistical analysis would be done on this data set. Descriptive statistics, inferential statistics and concepts of linear regression methods would be given in this assignment based on these data (Vogt and Barta 2013). Graphs and charts would also represent the data and provide conclusion about the data and their relations. Methodology The descriptive statistics for the variables are given below: Screens Mean 1213.52381 Standard Error 103.6609083 Median 1028 Mode #N/A Standard Deviation 475.0339587 Sample Variance 225657.2619 Kurtosis -1.569616636 Skewness 0.410014464 Range 1264 Minimum 645 Maximum 1909 Sum 25484 Count 21 Largest(1) 1909 Smallest(1) 645 Confidence Level (95.0%) 216.2328649 Admissions (millions) Mean 61.82380952 Standard Error 5.151804606 Median 68.1 Mode 92.5 Standard Deviation 23.60853457 Sample Variance 557.3629048 Kurtosis -1.666346431 Skewness -0.055528974 Range 63.6 Minimum 28.9 Maximum 92.5 Sum 1298.3 Count 21 Largest(1) 92.5 Smallest(1) 28.9 Confidence Level (95.0%) 10.74647607 Theatres Mean 545.0952381 Standard Error 9.45840638 Median 547 Mode 520 Standard Deviation 43.34386319 Sample Variance 1878.690476 Kurtosis 8.375821966 Skewness 2.445313468 Range 201 Minimum 501 Maximum 702 Sum 11447 Count 21 Largest(1) 702 Smallest(1) 501 Confidence Level (95.0%) 19.72988992 Films Screened Mean 257.3809524 Standard Error 5.769573802 Median 255 Mode 259 Standard Deviation 26.43950868 Sample Variance 699.047619 Kurtosis 1.256326286 Skewness -0.057083837 Range 124 Minimum 194 Maximum 318 Sum 5405 Count 21 Largest(1) 318 Smallest(1) 194 Confidence Level (95.0%) 12.03512002 Real Ticket Price Mean 19.77952381 Standard Error 0.091997609 Median 19.66 Mode #N/A Standard Deviation 0.421586008 Sample Variance 0.177734762 Kurtosis 0.085043332 Skewness 0.91600328 Range 1.51 Minimum 19.25 Maximum 20.76 Sum 415.37 Count 21 Largest(1) 20.76 Smallest(1) 19.25 Confidence Level (95.0%) 0.191903649 Capacity ('000s) Mean 362.8095238 Standard Error 15.57082422 Median 332 Mode 295 Standard Deviation 71.35448062 Sample Variance 5091.461905 Kurtosis -1.582996919 Skewness 0.44357307 Range 186 Minimum 285 Maximum 471 Sum 7619 Count 21 Largest(1) 471 Smallest(1) 285 Confidence Level (95.0%) 32.48017007 Considering the variable admission (millions), the central tendency the variable, i.e. the mean is 61.8238. The median of the variable is 68.1. This is the middle value of the admission (millions) is 68.1. The modal value of the variable was 92.5 (Plonsky 2015). This is the maximum frequency for the number of people who were admitted for the movie. The variability of the variable; i.e. the standard deviation is 23.6085. This depicts that the variable had a moderate amount of variability in the admission (millions) over the years (Vogt and Barta 2013). The shape of the distribution is platykurtic and the distribution is negatively skewed. The mean of the variable screens was found to be 1213.5238. The median of the variable was 1028 and there was no mode for this variable. The standard deviation of the variable was 475.0339 (Thiem 2014). This depicts that there was moderate variation in the number of screens available in Australia for screening of movies. The shape of the distribution id platykurtic and it is positively skewed. The average value of theatres was found to be 545.095. The median of the variable is 547 and its mode is 520. The standard deviation was 43.34. There was a low deviation in the number of theatres open in Australia during 1994 to 2014 (Campbell and Knapp 2013). The shape of the distribution is leptokurtic and the distribution is positively skewed. The average value of the variable films screened was found to be 257.38. The median value was 255 and the modal value was 259 (Ang and Van 2015). The standard deviation was found to be 36.439. This variable had a low deviation of the number of theatres opened in these years. The shape of the distribution is leptokurtic and it is negatively skewed. The mean of the variable real ticket price is 19.779 and its median is 19.66. the standard deviation of the variable is 0.42 (Kleinbaum et al. 2013). This is a very low standard deviation and the price of the tickets fluctuated little during the period of 1994 to 2014. The shape of the distribution is leptokurtic and the distribution is positively skewed. The average value of the variable capacity was found to be 362.8095. The median was 332 and the mode was 295. The standard deviation of the variable was 71.3544. This depicts that there was moderate variation among the daily capacity of the customers over the years. The shape of the distribution is platykurtic and the distribution is positively skewed. Graph displaying the distribution of admission Box-and-whisker plot for the distribution of the real ticket price is given below The likelihood that the admission is greater than 70 million when the real price of the ticket is more than $20 is given by P(X Z) = 1 P( X Z) = 1- 0.613 = 0.387 (Campbell and Knapp 2013). The admissions are statistically independent of price. This is because the value of the chi square test was found to be zero. The contingency table is as follows: Sum of probability of admission Column Labels Row Labels 28.9 29.7 30.8 35.5 37.4 39 43 46.9 47.2 55.5 68.1 69.9 73.9 76 80 82.2 88 89.8 91.5 92.5 Grand Total 19.25-19.35 0.036 0.071 0.107 19.35-19.45 0.030 0.036 0.043 0.063 0.172 19.45-19.55 0.068 0.071 0.139 19.55-19.65 0.024 0.069 0.093 19.65-19.75 0.022 0.029 0.051 19.75-19.85 0.023 0.062 0.084 19.85-19.95 0.027 0.027 19.95-20.05 0.070 0.070 20.05-20.15 0.059 0.059 20.15-20.25 0.057 0.057 20.35-20.45 0.033 0.033 20.45-20.55 0.054 0.054 20.75-20.85 0.052 0.052 Grand Total 0.022 0.023 0.024 0.027 0.029 0.030 0.033 0.036 0.036 0.043 0.052 0.054 0.057 0.059 0.062 0.063 0.068 0.069 0.070 0.142 1 The 95% confidence interval of mean theatre capacity is given by (mean 1.96* s.d.), (mean + 1.96* s.d.) = (460.1412662, 630.0492099) At 5% level of significance, the admission from 2008 to 2014 had exceeded the constant amount of 84 millions in Taiwan had the hypothesis as follows: H0 = the admission from 2008 to 2014 did not exceed the constant amount of 84 millions in Taiwan H1 = the admission from 2008 to 2014 had exceeded the constant amount of 84 millions in Taiwan On testing the two variables, the p value of the one-tailed test was found to be 0.02732, which is less than the p value (Levy and Lemeshow 2013). The null hypothesis in this case is rejected and the admission from 2008 to 2014 had exceeded the constant amount of 84 millions in Taiwan. The output of multiple linear regression is given in sheet named regression in the excel file. Using the result of regression analysis, the hypothesis is as follows: H0 = there is no difference between the ticket price in 2014 and zero at 5% level of significance H1 = there is difference between the ticket price in 2014 and zero at 5% level of significance The p value of the regression analysis for the variable real ticket price had the value of 0.044, which is less than 0.05. This leads to the rejection of null hypothesis. Thus, there is difference between the ticket price in 2014 and zero at 5% level of significance. The slope of the variable is 5.2766, which is positive (Montgomery et al. 2015). This states that the variable effects the admission in a positive way. The change in price in the ticket leads to the change in the admission in the similar direction. The value of intercept was found to be negative. This suggests that the admission would be negative in absence of all the factors. The slope of Screens was 0.0878, which was slightly positive (Draper and Smith 2014). This value aims to influence the admission in a positive manner, as the value is positive. The value of the slope of Theatres was found to be 0.04508, which is positive. This depicts that the factor had a weak positive influence of the admission. The slope of Flimsy screened was 0.001 and it is weakly negative (Csikszentmihalyi and Larson 2014). This also influences the admission positively and the change in value of this variable changes the value of admission in the same direction (Kleinbaum et al. 2013). The slope of capacity (000s) has a negative slope of -0.2819. This indicates that the variable influence the admission in a negative way. The increase in capacity decreases the admission. All the slope of the variables had the same sign as was expected. The sign of capacity (000s) was expected to be positive whereas it turned out to be negative. The value of adjusted r square is 0.971. This indicates that 97.1% of variation is explained by only the independent variables that actually affect the dependent variable (Fox 2015). The p value of the variables theatres and film screened are more than 5% level of significance. The other three variables have their p value less than 0.05. Thus, this overall model is statistically not significant as the p values of all the variables are not less than 0.05. Scatter diagram and histogram The variable is heteroscadastic, normal and linear. Variables like location of the theatre, facilities provided in the theatre and the type of movie influence the admission positively. These factors would increase the value of regression coefficient and would thereby, influence the regression coefficient. The sampling process of random sampling would not be appropriate one at the first instance. The organisation must identify all the households of native-born Australians. They could then use the process of random sampling to select the households from the identified households. Conclusion It was seen from the analysis that the variable admission is influenced by various factors like the Screens, Theatres, Films Screened, Real Ticket Price and Capacity. The average, standard deviation and the type of distribution of each variable vary from each other over the period from 1994 to 2014. The graphs show the distribution of each variable and the tables give an idea about the type of admission with the real ticket price. The degree of association between the variables was also analysed. Thus the analysis gave a clear picture about the variables and the effect of admission over the years 1994 to 2014 and the influence of the other factors on the admission. References Ang, S. and Van Dyne, L., 2015.Handbook of cultural intelligence. Routledge. Bickel, P.J. and Lehmann, E.L., 2012. Descriptive statistics for nonparametric models I. Introduction. InSelected Works of EL Lehmann(pp. 465-471). Springer US. Campbell, J.P. and Knapp, D.J. eds., 2013.Exploring the limits in personnel selection and classification. Psychology Press. Csikszentmihalyi, M. and Larson, R., 2014. Validity and reliability of the experience-sampling method. InFlow and the Foundations of Positive Psychology(pp. 35-54). Springer Netherlands. Draper, N.R. and Smith, H., 2014.Applied regression analysis. John Wiley Sons. Fox, J., 2015.Applied regression analysis and generalized linear models. Sage Publications Kleinbaum, D., Kupper, L., Nizam, A. and Rosenberg, E., 2013.Applied regression analysis and other multivariable methods. Nelson Education. Levy, P.S. and Lemeshow, S., 2013.Sampling of populations: methods and applications. John Wiley Sons. Montgomery, D.C., Peck, E.A. and Vining, G.G., 2015.Introduction to linear regression analysis. John Wiley Sons. Plonsky, L., 2015. Statistical power, p values, descriptive statistics, and effect sizes: A" back-to-basics" approach to advancing quantitative methods in L2 research. Thiem, A., 2014. Membership function sensitivity of descriptive statistics in fuzzy-set relations.International Journal of Social Research Methodology,17(6), pp.625-642. Vogt, A. and Barta, J., 2013.The making of tests for index numbers: Mathematical methods of descriptive statistics. Springer Science Business Media.
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